Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13

Sep 28, 2020 at 12.30am UK

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Toronto
3 - 1
Columbus Crew

Altidore (48'), Pozuelo (59'), Laryea (76')
Altidore (28'), Delgado (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mavinga (40' og.)
Zelarayan (60'), Morris (67')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
48.39%	25.05%	26.56%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.27%

49.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26%

71.73%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42%

20.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89%

53.1%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84%

33.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.24%

69.75%

Score Analysis

Toronto 48.38%

Columbus Crew 26.56%

Draw 25.04%

Toronto	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.38%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.56%