Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 33.05% | 24.88% | 42.07% |
| Both teams to score 57.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% | 45.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% | 68.08% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% | 26.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% | 61.81% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% | 21.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% | 54.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-1 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.07% |