Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 35.22% | 25.27% | 39.51% |
| Both teams to score 56.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% | 69.28% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% | 57.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.51% |