Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 51.89% | 24.23% | 23.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% | 48.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% | 70.65% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% | 18.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% | 34.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% | 71.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.88% |