Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 45.65% | 25.19% | 29.15% |
| Both teams to score 54.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% | 48.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% | 70.83% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% | 21.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% | 54.32% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% | 66.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.15% |