Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 47.24% | 25.94% | 26.82% |
| Both teams to score 50.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% | 74.7% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% | 56.04% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% | 34.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% | 71.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.82% |