Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12

Sep 24, 2020 at 12.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
4 - 0
Houston

Beric (15'), Herbers (23'), Medran (40'), Sapong (87' pen.)
Pineda (63'), Shuttleworth (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Lassiter (83'), Struna (87'), Maric (89')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
55.7%	22.97%	21.33%

Both teams to score 53.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09%

45.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78%

68.22%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68%

16.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1%

45.9%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33%

35.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56%

72.44%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 55.7%

Houston Dynamo 21.33%

Draw 22.96%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.27% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.33%