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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Sep 24, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
4 - 0
Houston

Beric (15'), Herbers (23'), Medran (40'), Sapong (87' pen.)
Pineda (63'), Shuttleworth (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Lassiter (83'), Struna (87'), Maric (89')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
55.7%22.97%21.33%
Both teams to score 53.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09%45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78%68.22%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1%45.9%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33%35.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56%72.44%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 55.7%
    Houston Dynamo 21.33%
    Draw 22.96%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 5.82%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.33%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
Oct 22, 2017 9pm
Houston
3-0
Chicago Fire
Leonardo (2'), Quioto (68'), Manotas (75')
May 21, 2016 10pm
Jul 4, 2015 2am
rhs 2.0
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