Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-0 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 25.2% | 23.79% | 51% |
| Both teams to score 55.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% | 45.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% | 67.77% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% | 68.41% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% | 48.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 5.71% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51% |