Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 37.77% | 24.68% | 37.55% |
| Both teams to score 58.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.88% | 44.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% | 57.03% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% | 23.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% | 57.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.77% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.55% |