Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 32.64% | 25.46% | 41.9% |
| Both teams to score 55.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% | 56.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.9% |