Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16

Oct 8, 2020 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Reid (67')
Melia (1'), Espinoza (24'), Reid (62'), Russell (77'), Shelton (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Herbers (19'), Calvo (19'), Sekulic (58')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Chicago Fire
48.69%	23.99%	27.32%

Both teams to score 57.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4%

44.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04%

66.96%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58%

18.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.41%

49.59%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13%

29.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04%

65.96%

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 48.7%

Chicago Fire 27.32%

Draw 23.98%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.7%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 6.8% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.32%