Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
| 51.49% | 22.7% | 25.81% |
| Both teams to score 60.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% | 15.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.33% | 44.67% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% | 28.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-1 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.81% |