Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14

Oct 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

Montreal
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Lappalainen (22'), Urruti (67')
Brault-Guillard (75'), Piette (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Beric (15'), Calvo (73')
Sapong (77')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
32.75%	26.18%	41.06%

Both teams to score 52.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71%

73.28%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39%

65.6%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68%

59.31%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 32.75%

Chicago Fire 41.06%

Draw 26.18%

CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.75%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.06%