Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 45.56% | 24.55% | 29.89% |
| Both teams to score 57.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% | 45.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% | 20.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% | 52.34% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% | 64.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.89% |