Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.