Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 45.8% | 25.24% | 28.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% | 71.11% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% | 21.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% | 54.42% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% | 30.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.96% |