Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 42.99% | 24.26% | 32.75% |
| Both teams to score 59.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% | 65.38% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% | 20.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% | 52.45% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% | 25.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% | 60.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.75% |