Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 62.75% | 20.64% | 16.61% |
| Both teams to score 53.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% | 42.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% | 65.18% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% | 13.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.41% | 39.59% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% | 38.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% | 75.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.75% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.74% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 4.79% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.61% |