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Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Nov 2, 2020 at 12am UK
Yankee Stadium
New York Red Bulls

NY City
5 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Castellanos (12', 76', 84' pen.), Mackay-Steven (42'), Ring (51')
Parks (68'), Medina (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
White (18'), Casseres Jr (38')
Duncan (41')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
57.1%22.1%20.81%
Both teams to score 55.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86%65.14%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25%14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02%42.98%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62%34.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91%71.09%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.1%
    New York Red Bulls 20.81%
    Draw 22.1%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 6.33%
3-0 @ 5.93%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 3.03%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.1%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-1 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 20.81%

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