Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 39.04% | 26.58% | 34.38% |
| Both teams to score 52.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% | 52.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% | 74.41% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% | 61.59% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% | 29.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% | 65.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.38% |