Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 36.48% | 26.36% | 37.16% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% | 51.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% | 73.49% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% | 26.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% | 62.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.16% |