Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 49.64% | 24.86% | 25.49% |
| Both teams to score 52.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% | 20.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% | 52.27% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% | 34.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% | 70.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.49% |