Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 38.99% | 25.32% | 35.69% |
| Both teams to score 56.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% | 69.43% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% | 23.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% | 58.12% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% | 25.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% | 60.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.69% |