Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 29.44% | 26.73% | 43.83% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% | 76.12% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% | 33.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% | 70.25% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% | 24.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.82% |