Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16

Oct 8, 2020 at 1am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 0
Dallas

Quintero (20'), Ceren (82' pen.)
Fuenmayor (8'), Ceren (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ziegler (59'), Reynolds (81'), Bressan (88'), Barrios (90+8')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Dallas
46.9%	23.96%	29.14%

Both teams to score 58.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71%

43.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31%

65.69%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37%

18.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06%

49.94%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1%

27.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49%

63.51%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 46.9%

Dallas 29.14%

Draw 23.96%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.41% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.14%

Major League Soccer

Houston2 - 0Dallas

Data Analysis

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Houston
2 - 0
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