Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 46.79% | 26.42% | 26.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% | 54.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% | 76.26% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% | 23.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% | 57.51% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% | 35.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% | 72.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.79% |