Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 43.56% | 25.19% | 31.25% |
| Both teams to score 55.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% | 47.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% | 69.93% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% | 21.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% | 55.15% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% | 28.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% | 64.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.25% |