Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.