Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24

Nov 8, 2020 at 8.30pm UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
3 - 4
NY City

Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
41.51%	25.51%	32.97%

Both teams to score 55.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43%

48.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31%

70.68%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85%

57.14%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72%

27.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36%

63.63%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 41.51%

New York City FC 32.97%

Draw 25.5%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.51%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.97%

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire3 - 4NY City

Data Analysis

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Chicago Fire
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