Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
| 42.67% | 26.61% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% | 53.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% | 75.3% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% | 59.64% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.73% |