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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
Montreal Impact

NY City
3 - 1
Montreal

Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Quioto (89')
(90')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
63.46%20.71%15.83%
Both teams to score 51.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06%66.94%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62%13.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7%40.3%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93%41.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38%77.62%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 63.45%
    CF Montreal 15.83%
    Draw 20.71%
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.75%
4-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 9.84%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.89%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.83%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2020 12am
Jul 25, 2020 10pm
May 4, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 11
Montreal
0-2
NY City

Lovitz (31'), Taider (40')
Moralez (6'), Tajouri (49')
Moralez (54'), Ring (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 6
NY City
0-0
Montreal
Matarrita (32'), Sands (93')
Novillo (59'), Piette (63'), Sagna (72')
Urruti (70')
Sep 23, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Montreal
1-1
NY City
Azira (27')
Azira (49'), Taider (93')
Camacho (17' og.)
Callens (57'), Chanot (78'), Matarrita (79')
rhs 2.0
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