Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
38.07% | 25.64% | 36.29% |
Both teams to score 55.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4% | 48.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.28% | 70.71% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% | 25.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% | 59.7% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% | 26.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.95% | 61.05% |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |