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Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Oct 8, 2020 at 1am UK
Red Bull Arena
DC United

NY City
4 - 1
DC United

Castellanos (4' pen.), Tajouri (55' pen., 63'), Parks (88')
Castellanos (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kamara (12' pen.)
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
63.07%20.7%16.22%
Both teams to score 51.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23%43.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84%66.16%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98%40.03%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93%40.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28%76.72%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 63.07%
    DC United 16.22%
    Draw 20.7%
New York City FCDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.84%
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 63.07%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.31%
2-2 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 4.85%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.22%