Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 3

Apr 25, 2021 at 10.30pm UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Hernandez (9')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gutman (26'), Hernandez (41', 60'), Casseres Jr (63')
Grandsir (63'), Clark (87'), Alvarez (90+1'), Davis (90+6'), Yearwood (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	New York Red Bulls
40.64%	24.13%	35.23%

Both teams to score 60.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28%

41.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88%

64.12%

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31%

20.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71%

53.29%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58%

23.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59%

57.41%

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 40.64%

New York Red Bulls 35.23%

Draw 24.12%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 40.64%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.23%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs NY Red Bulls

Los Angeles Galaxy

74.1%

Draw

7.4%

New York Red Bulls

18.5%