Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.48% | 25.47% | 32.06% |
Both teams to score 55.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.35% | 48.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% | 70.76% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% | 22.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% | 56.5% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.37% | 28.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.57% | 64.43% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |