Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 42.48% | 25.47% | 32.06% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% | 70.76% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% | 56.5% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% | 28.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.06% |