Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.