Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 61.66% | 20.56% | 17.78% |
| Both teams to score 55.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.32% | 62.68% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% | 12.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.34% | 38.66% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.62% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.78% |