Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4

May 2, 2021 at 12am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Atlanta

Bye (19'), Gil (53' pen.)
Bye (75'), Polster (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moreno (43' pen.)
Mulraney (17'), Franco (29'), Sosa (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
53.21%	23.39%	23.41%

Both teams to score 55.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62%

45.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29%

67.72%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99%

17.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86%

47.15%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55%

33.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92%

70.09%

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 53.21%

Atlanta United 23.41%

Draw 23.38%

New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.21%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.41%