Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 51.68% | 24.51% | 23.81% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% | 19.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% | 50.94% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% | 35.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.81% |