Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 49.18% | 24.29% | 26.52% |
| Both teams to score 55.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% | 46.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% | 68.82% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% | 18.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% | 50.53% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% | 31.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.52% |