Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 40.6% | 24.67% | 34.72% |
| Both teams to score 58.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% | 21.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% | 24.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% | 59.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.48% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.72% |