Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 54% | 24.81% | 21.19% |
| Both teams to score 48.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% | 53.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% | 75.03% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% | 19.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% | 51.83% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% | 40.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% | 76.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.19% |