Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
May 16, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Cory Burke 9' goal
  • Leon Flach 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Long 52'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 61'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 79'
  • redcard Dru Yearwood 90'+2'

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 1 New England
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kacper Przybylko

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 8, 2021 6.00pm
NY Red Bulls 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Patryk Klimala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Philadelphia Union 52.19%
Draw 23.39%
New York Red Bulls 24.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.65%
Under 2.5 44.35%
Over 3.5 33.28%
Under 3.5 66.73%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 83%
Under 0.5 17.01%
Over 1.5 52.87%
Under 1.5 47.13%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 67.99%
Under 0.5 32.02%
Over 1.5 31.52%
Under 1.5 68.48%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 52.19%
Draw 23.38%
New York Red Bulls 24.43%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 52.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.38%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.43%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Sep 27, 2020 10.30pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
Sep 7, 2020 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • goal Brenden Aaronson 36'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 69'
  • goal Matthew Real 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2020 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kacper Przybylko 31' goal
  • Ray Gaddis 36' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 52' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 6, 2020 11.00pm
MLS Playoffs
Oct 20, 2019 8.00pm
4
3
ET
  • Alejandro Bedoya 30' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 36' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 52' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 58' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 78' goal
  • Marco Fabian 105' goal
  • Ilsinho 108' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Sims 6'
  • goal Tim Parker 24'
  • goal Tom Barlow 45'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 107'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 114'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 38
Sep 22, 2019 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Tom Barlow 32' goal
  • Marc Rzatkowski 60' yellowcard
  • Daniel Royer 96' goal