Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7

May 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Burke (9')
Flach (90+3'), Elliott (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Long (52'), Nealis (61'), Yearwood (79')
Yearwood (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.19%	23.39%	24.43%

Both teams to score 56.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.65%

44.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.28%

66.73%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83%

17.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.87%

47.13%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52%

68.48%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 52.19%

New York Red Bulls 24.43%

Draw 23.38%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.19%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls

Philadelphia Union

62.5%

Draw

12.5%

New York Red Bulls

25.0%