Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 44.16% | 26.59% | 29.24% |
| Both teams to score 50.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% | 54.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% | 75.74% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% | 24.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% | 58.92% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.24% |