Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Toronto |
| 49.15% | 26.1% | 24.75% |
| Both teams to score 48.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% | 55.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% | 76.39% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% | 22.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% | 56.03% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% | 37.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% | 74.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% 2-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.75% |