Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11

Jun 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 3
Orlando City

Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
45.12%	25.28%	29.59%

Both teams to score 54.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12%

48.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02%

70.98%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34%

21.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2%

54.79%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58%

30.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37%

66.62%

Score Analysis

Toronto 45.12%

Orlando City 29.59%

Draw 25.28%

Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.12%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.59%

How you voted: Toronto vs Orlando City

Toronto

28.0%

Draw

36.0%

Orlando City