Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7

May 15, 2021 at 6pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Toronto

Medina (53')
Acevedo (30'), Jasson (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shaffelburg (74')
Mavinga (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.87%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
58.87%	19.97%	21.15%

Both teams to score 64.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.87%

32.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.28%

53.71%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.17%

10.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.1%

34.89%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.59%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.87%

Toronto 21.15%

Draw 19.97%

New York City FC	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 7.07% 1-0 @ 6.73% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 3.93% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.75% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.11% 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.21% Total : 58.87%	1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 3.03% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.97%	1-2 @ 5.47% 0-1 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.43% Total : 21.15%

How you voted: NY City vs Toronto

New York City FC

57.9%

Draw

21.1%

Toronto