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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 7
May 15, 2021 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Toronto FC
NY City
1 - 1
Toronto
Medina (53')
Acevedo (30'), Jasson (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shaffelburg (74')
Mavinga (65')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.87%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
58.87%19.97%21.15%
Both teams to score 64.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.87%32.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.28%53.71%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.17%10.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.1%34.89%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41%63.59%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.87%
    Toronto 21.15%
    Draw 19.97%
New York City FCDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 7.07%
1-0 @ 6.73%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.5%
4-1 @ 3.93%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.5%
5-1 @ 1.75%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1.11%
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.97%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 21.15%

How you voted: NY City vs Toronto

New York City FC
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Toronto
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Toronto
0-1
NY City

Morrow (3')
Medina (51')
Callens (45+1'), Castellanos (75'), Medina (90+2')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
Gameweek 11
NY City
0-1
Toronto
Pozuelo (90' pen.)
Jul 27, 2020 1.30am
May 14, 2020 12am
Mar 7, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 3
Toronto
1-0
NY City
Achara (81')
Auro (87')

Ring (22'), Sands (35'), Parks (70')
rhs 2.0
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