Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 38.33% | 26.12% | 35.55% |
| Both teams to score 53.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% | 72.63% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% | 60.85% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% | 27.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% | 62.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.55% |