Chicago Fire

2 - 1

NY Red Bulls

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.