Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16

Jul 18, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
5 - 1
Chicago Fire

Williams (10', 13', 16'), Sapong (39'), Anunga (62')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Aliseda (47')
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.46%	25.02%	22.52%

Both teams to score 49.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01%

52.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41%

74.58%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81%

20.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5%

52.49%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5%

38.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75%

75.24%

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 52.45%

Chicago Fire 22.52%

Draw 25.02%

Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.45%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Nashville vs Chicago Fire

Nashville SC

46.7%

Draw

46.7%

Chicago Fire

6.7%