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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Toronto
Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawToronto
51.91%22.46%25.63%
Both teams to score 60.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72%61.28%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84%15.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.25%43.75%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.86%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.91%
    Toronto 25.63%
    Draw 22.46%
Chicago FireDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Toronto

Chicago Fire
40.0%
Draw
48.0%
Toronto
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Sep 29, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 39
Chicago Fire
2-2
Toronto
Katai (68'), Herbers (77')
Gaitan (85')
Altidore (59'), Gonzalez (80')
Delgado (69')
Apr 6, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 6
Toronto
2-2
Chicago Fire
Altidore (31'), Osorio (76')
Laryea (37'), Pozuelo (57')
Sapong (45'), Nikolic (62')
Katai (37'), Nikolic (52'), Mihailovic (56'), Schweinsteiger (81')
Jul 29, 2018 12am
Gameweek 25
Toronto
3-0
Chicago Fire
Altidore (52'), Osorio (72'), Giovinco (89')
Giovinco (42'), Bradley (63')

Bronico (30')
rhs 2.0
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