Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Jul 25, 2021 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Toronto

Medran (77')
Pineda (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
51.91%	22.46%	25.63%

Both teams to score 60.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.04%

38.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.72%

61.28%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25%

43.75%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.86%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 51.91%

Toronto 25.63%

Draw 22.46%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.91%	1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.58% Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Toronto

Chicago Fire

40.0%

Draw

48.0%

Toronto

12.0%