Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 49.97% | 23.52% | 26.51% |
| Both teams to score 58.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% | 43.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% | 65.53% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% | 17.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.22% | 47.78% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% | 65.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.51% |