Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 43.54% | 26.1% | 30.36% |
| Both teams to score 52.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.07% | 51.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% | 73.68% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% | 23.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% | 57.84% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% | 31.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.36% |